Two ways of looking at things

There are always two ways to see a situation.
Take this economy, for example.

My friend Andy Fireman, an Angel investor involved in interesting companies, picked up my day with this comment:

"We need to think of this economy as perhaps the best opportunity we will ever see in our lives. The question is: how do we capitalize on this. Interesting story I heard ... Joe Kennedy Sr was worth only $4 mil in 1929 ... But by 1933 he was worth $180 mil. For him, the Great Depression was a golden opportunity.
So, how do we turn this economy into an opportunity?"

Thanks, Andy. I love positive people.

How do you know who can help you to raise capital?

If an investment banker can't provide the following, DON'T HIRE THEM:
1. Experience and knowledge of innovative financing structures to maximize client value (by proof of past clients)
2. Direct relationships and established contacts with a breadth of private equity funds - ability to present a deal and know the funds will listen.
3. Produce an extremely high quality financial model and written report in a manner that will attract fund managers.
4. Prepare some 75% of the due diligence material material required by a fund - save the client the time and effort
And most importantly:
5. Be capable and experienced enough to negotiate the best terms for the client with the fund. Fund managers negotiate financing deals for a living, whereas most entrepreneurs negotiate a major financing once or twice in a lifetime. A good I-banker evens the scales.


Hope that helps!

CVCA's PD session on Deal and Valuation trends

I received a summary of the latest CVCA event from Shailen Chande. It's worth a peak:
Market overview:
- PE deal activity has been crippled by significant expectation gaps between buyers and sellers and a lack of financing
- Current baseline LBO structure for a "middle of the fairway" business - EV: 5.0-6.0x EBITDA; Total debt: 2.0-2.5x EBITDA
- Shift towards smaller deals - Larger US sponsors are looking at equity tickets in the region of US$200m
- 2009 has seen positive inflows into leveraged loan and high yield funds marking a potential return to mainstream lending
- Increasing number of GP's are returning LP commitments and/or reworking terms - fundraising market is limited, although there is demand for distressed/turnaround funds
- Increasing number of mid market US sponsors looking North to Canadian carve outs and/or distressed situations
- 2007/2008 funds will make for some of the best vintages given unprecedented buying opportunities

Is anyone getting any money?

I see Jeff Frost is asking on the Venture Capital forum on Linkedin if there is any money being loaned or invested. Here in Canada, our banks have moved onto the list of top largest banks in the world which really is quite remarkable. When you fly across the country, most of it seems unoccupied! Also, we only have six cities with a population over a million while China has 100 cities with 1 million plus people.
So to get back to the question -is anyone putting money into companies?
Yes.
First up the government is handing out sugar plums to early stage companies. But since our banks are very conservative - as they should be we have come to appreciate - it has made room for a very healthy private equity fund industry.
If you have a business generating over $10M in revenues, you are of interest to a private equity fund in your field of expertise. Old style manufacturers, do not despair, as you are of interest too.
Last night, Loewen & Partners had a board meeting with one of our clients who is doing very well with global clients. Two years ago, when we first met, it was not a pretty picture. What happened? We matched the owner with a private equity fund who bought a 35% stake in the business. They also pushed him to do the strategic changes he had always meant to do. We raised capital - over $15M for the company and they had revenues of $35M and a downward trend. So you can see that there are possibilities where your Canadian banker may not wish to go.
The smiles around the table make private equity a great business.

Is private equity taking away bank business?

Now we can fast forward to 2009 and a completely different picture emerges.

China now holds the top 3 spots and America’s largest bank, JP Morgan Chase is merely in 5th place. You can do a whole range of further comparisons but the overwhelming conclusion must be that the financial world today is far different from a decade ago. And the power players have clearly shifted. If power were to be measured by the strength of financial institutions, 2009 must be considered a much more egalitarian world. No longer could the fate of things to come be dictated by one superpower only. An interesting thought considering the upcoming G20 meeting.

"Also to be factored in is the amount of money being given out to companies by private equity," cautions Jacoline Loewen, author of Money Magnet. "A lot of the business done by banks is shifting to private equity which does not show up on these charts."