Returns for Private Equity Will Surpass 2007

Stephen Schwarzman, CEO The Blackstone Group, a private equity firm, says that now is a good time for deals in the industry. Despite turmoil in credit markets and weakness in the U.S. economy, according to Mr. Schwarzman, returns for deals made now could far surpass the deals of 2007.
“The heyday of 2007 was pretty remarkable in terms of the kind of credit one got,” Schwarzman says. “It’s unclear whether the deals done during that period will offer the best returns for private equity investors.”

- Jeff Watson

Worries of Limited Partners

Reuters published a story this week discussing the growing concerns of Limited partners – large pension funds and other institutional investors that pour money into private equity funds. They are worried that their returns are at risk as buyout firms drift from their expertise amidst the credit crisis. Some buyout firms are now starting to pursue investments in emerging markets, taking minority stakes in public companies or buying debt of their portfolio companies.

- Jeff Watson

Investment Banking Fees Plummet

In his blog, Taom Traulli notes that bulge bracket investment banks have seen their advisory fees fall significantly. Goldman Sachs, an investment banking firm, earned $1.5 billion in fees last year. This year that number has fallen 77% across the industry.

- Jeff Watson

BCE will reward shareholders

According to David Friend of the Canadian Press, investors are shying away from BCE stocks and the risks of its current quagmire. He goes on to point out that though the stock price is likely to fall because the chances of another potential buyer entering the fray seems unlikely, there is still an upside according to an analysis of BCE's position in the latest issue of the Investment Reporter, an industry newsletter.
"Should the takeover fall through, BCE shares would likely drop, but after that, they should recover. After all, BCE would likely reward its shareholders with a special dividend, higher regular dividends or share buybacks," the publication said.

- Jeffrey Watson

Private Equity's Image

Private equity has an image problem with unions and employees of the big, public companies who say that PE destroys wealth by stripping out company assets and downsizing. One of my favourite PE people is David Rubenstein, head of one of the largest PE firms in the USA, Carlyle. He has a quiet sense of irony and self depreciating humour clearly evident as he he asked, "What, no demonstrators?" referring to the crowds following him around to public appearances. He gave a speech describing PE to the new President of the USA. Peter Lattman at the Wall Street Journal tells us about his 10 points to make to Barrack Obama next January, 2009.
Probably the big plus about PE is that, as David Rubenstein of Carlyle says, is that it is not your father's PE. In other words, that Gordon Gehko type barnstorming share holders' meetings and selling off the company assets is not today's PE fellow. Here's a taste of what the WSJ reports on David Rubenstein's speech:
No. 1: This is not your father’s private-equity industry. Rubenstein would remind the leader of the free world that the industry has grown tremendously and now is a vibrant part of the U.S. economy.
No. 2: Private equity is the principal source of high returns for pension funds. Don’t think about the Schwarzmans, Kravises and Rubensteins of the world when you think about making changes to the private-equity industry. Instead, think about the pension funds and the people with stakes in them.

Check out the article and read the blogs below to see just how misinformed smart WSJ readers can be.